Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
2 - 1
Cadiz
We said: Valencia 3-2 Cadiz
Cadiz have potentially turned a corner in recent weeks and we can see them putting up a good fight here in what would be a major achievement if they can reach the final four. However, Valencia will see the return of some important names and should have enough to edge what is likely to be an entertaining game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
| 43.23% | 25.94% | 30.83% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
