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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Valencia.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga match with Valencia.

We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Valencia

Valencia are more than capable of picking up a positive result at Bernabeu, and we are expecting this to be a very close match in the Spanish capital this weekend. Real Madrid will be desperate to return to winning ways following their loss at Getafe, though, and we are backing a 1-0 home success in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
63.45%21.08%15.48%
Both teams to score 49.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22%46.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.04%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92%14.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.31%41.69%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.13%42.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.82%79.18%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.44%
    Valencia 15.48%
    Draw 21.07%
Real MadridDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.72%
5-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
84.3%
Draw
9.6%
Valencia
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 5
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 23
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
gameweek 9
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
Jun 18, 2020 9pm
Content continues below the video

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Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona35274465155085
2Atletico MadridAtletico35226763273672
3Real Madrid35225870333771
4Real Sociedad35198847321565
5Villarreal351861154361860
6Real BetisBetis35168114338556
7Athletic Bilbao35148134639750
8GironaGirona35139135550548
9Sevilla35139134449-548
10Osasuna35138143239-747
11Rayo Vallecano351210134247-546
12Mallorca35128153340-744
13Valencia35117173941-240
14Almeria35116184661-1539
15Celta Vigo35109164050-1039
16CadizCadiz35911152850-2238
17Real ValladolidValladolid35105203062-3235
18Getafe35811163144-1335
19Espanyol35810174461-1734
RElcheElche3548232765-3820

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