Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
48.84% | 26.78% | 24.37% |
Both teams to score 46.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% | 57.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% | 78.6% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% | 23.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% | 57.95% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 9 | 45 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 24 | 39 | 65 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 60 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 54 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
6 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 41 |
9 | Mallorca | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
11 | GironaGirona | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 |
14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 35 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 32 |
16 | Getafe | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Almeria | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
18 | Valencia | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 |
19 | Espanyol | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 28 |
20 | ElcheElche | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 13 |
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