Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.9% | 25.66% | 50.44% |
Both teams to score 48.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% | 54.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% | 75.59% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% | 37.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% | 74.63% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% | 54.57% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 0-2 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 8 | 39 | 65 |
2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 56 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 42 |
6 | Villarreal | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 36 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Osasuna | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Mallorca | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 32 |
12 | GironaGirona | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Sevilla | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 28 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
16 | Espanyol | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
17 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
18 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Getafe | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
20 | ElcheElche | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 13 |
> Full Version |