Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
51.68% | 24.75% | 23.56% |
Both teams to score 51.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% | 19.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% | 51.7% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% | 36.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% | 73.15% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 8 | 39 | 65 |
2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 56 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 42 |
6 | Villarreal | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 36 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Osasuna | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Mallorca | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 32 |
12 | GironaGirona | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Sevilla | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 28 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
16 | Espanyol | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
17 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
18 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Getafe | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
20 | ElcheElche | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 13 |
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