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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Park
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Cincinnati
Przybylko (32'), Czichos (45' pen.), Mueller (46')
Teran (13'), Gimenez (57'), Navarro (65'), Przybylko (90+2'), Pineda (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (8', 87'), Santos (84')
Vazquez (58')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati will be confident of hurting any team this season with a front pairing of Vazquez and Brenner. The strikers and the additional goal threat of Acosta in the midfield should be too much for a badly out of form Chicago to cope with, so Noonan's side are strong favourites to collect their third win of the season here.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
49.64% (-0.304 -0.3) 24.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.69% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (0.40000000000001 0.4)48.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (0.362 0.36)70.89% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.053999999999995 0.05)51.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.494 0.49)33.36% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (0.538 0.54)69.98% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.64%
    FC Cincinnati 25.69%
    Draw 24.66%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England10631169721
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati106311311221
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta105321916318
4Nashville SCNashville10433116515
5New York City FCNY City104331211115
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7DC United104241413114
8Orlando City94231010014
9Toronto102621313012
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
11Chicago Fire92521313011
12Inter MiamiInter Miami9306810-29
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10163710-39
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC102351019-99
15CF MontrealMontreal9306717-109

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle106221771020
2St Louis City1061322121019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas104331211115
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes104331313015
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd933388012
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver9252117411
9Portland TimbersPortland103251316-311
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake93151017-710
11Colorado RapidsColorado10163611-59
12Austin FCAustin9234814-69
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9135714-76
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas10037315-123

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