Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
