Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.