Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
