Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
