MX23RW : Saturday, October 7 16:40:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Rio Ave
Braga
2 - 0
Rio Ave
Bruma (36'), Banza (79')
Elmusrati (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave

Having lost their last two matches, Braga will head into the weekend looking to arrest their slump and resume their push for an automatic Champions League qualification spot. Jorge's side have been near impenetrable on home turf in recent weeks and are tipping them to come away with their fifth straight league win at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawRio Ave
63.72% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.37% (0.029 0.03) 14.91% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.185 -0.18)49.06% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.168 -0.17)71.14% (0.17 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)14.74% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (-0.114 -0.11)42.96% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (-0.159 -0.16)45.04% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.128 -0.13)80.96% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.7%
    Rio Ave 14.91%
    Draw 21.36%
BragaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 63.7%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.36%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 14.91%

How you voted: Braga vs Rio Ave

Braga
88.9%
Draw
3.7%
Rio Ave
7.4%
54
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 8.30pm
Rio Ave
2-3
Braga
Boateng (81'), Yakubu (87')
Elmusrati (11'), Medeiros (25'), Horta (69')
Silva (67')
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Rio Ave
0-0
Braga

Augusto (35'), Amaral (41'), Aderlan (61')
Gelson (80')

Sequeira (30'), Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves (69')
Dec 22, 2020 8.15pm
Jun 30, 2020 9.30pm
Rio Ave
4-3
Braga
Taremi (35', 90+6' pen.), Santos (36'), Gelson (41')
Aderlan (57'), Tarantini (85')
Paulinho (21', 81'), Horta (27')
Esgaio (83'), Fransergio (89')
Rolando (90+2')
Dec 2, 2019 6.45pm
Braga
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (41'), Horta (80')
Sequeira (74'), Viana (88')

Vito (14'), Junio (85')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon7610156919
2Benfica76011771018
3Porto7511106416
4BoavistaBoavista84311813515
5Braga74121813513
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741299013
7FamalicaoFamalicao733175212
8MoreirenseMoreirense83231110111
9Gil Vicente8305181449
10Casa Pia72327619
11PortimonensePortimonense7223917-88
12SC FarenseFarense8215111107
13ChavesChaves82151121-107
14AroucaArouca7133811-36
15Vizela81341014-46
16Estrela Amadora7124712-55
17Rio AveRio Ave7124512-75
18Estoril PraiaEstoril71151418-44

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!