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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo
Hearts
2 - 2
Hibernian
Forrest (28'), Doidge (58' og.)
Shankland (5'), Devlin (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Youan (66', 68')
Fish (15')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

There is very little to split these two teams in terms of the performances that they have delivered this season which should lead to a close encounter. Both teams will believe that they can get a result, but that could lead to them holding out for a draw for derby day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
41.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.04% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 33.44% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)46.34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (-0.035 -0.04)68.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.26% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)55.7% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.86% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.53%
    Hibernian 33.44%
    Draw 25.03%
HeartsDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Hibernian
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Campbell (90'), Devlin (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hibernian
1-0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 2
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
rhs 2.0
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Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic108202361726
2RangersRangers96031751218
3St Mirren95311510518
4Dundee9252910-111
5Hearts932489-111
6Motherwell93241012-211
7Kilmarnock92431112-110
8Hibernian102441316-310
9Livingston10244917-810
10Aberdeen8233101009
11Ross County9234915-69
12St Johnstone9045315-124

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