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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Easter Road
Hearts logo
Hibernian
1 - 0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Egan Riley (10'), Johnson (11'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Cadden (61'), Newell (78'), Campbell (90+1'), Hanlon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Naismith (0'), Devlin (20'), Atkinson (77'), Kingsley (89'), Sibbick (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 2-2 Hearts

Having both lost each of their last four league games, Hibernian and Hearts will be eager to stop the rot this weekend, so we can see the arch-rivals sharing the points in an entertaining Edinburgh derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawHearts
45.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.06% (0.012 0.01) 31.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.101 -0.1)38% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.108 -0.11)60.26% (0.105 0.11)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)47.03% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)24.06% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.112 -0.11)58.34% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 45.93%
    Hearts 31.01%
    Draw 23.06%
HibernianDrawHearts
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Hearts

Hibernian
20.0%
Draw
50.0%
Hearts
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')
Shankland (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

Real Madrid Until The End
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