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Celtic logo
Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hibs logo
Hearts
3 - 0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')
Smith (52'), Atkinson (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cadden (11'), Bushiri (37'), Campbell (46')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 Hearts
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian

Neither side have proved able to keep the back door shut for long this season, so a frenetic Edinburgh derby is likely to end with both teams on the scoresheet. With home advantage and recent form in their favour, it is Hearts who are set to shade it though - pulling further clear of Hibs in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
44.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.4% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)44.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)66.66% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)20.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.47%
    Hibernian 31.12%
    Draw 24.4%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
80.4%
Draw
13.0%
Hibernian
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Hibernian
0-0
Hearts

Stevenson (11'), Newell (58')

Moore (12'), Halliday (17'), Devlin (45+1'), Woodburn (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

Real Madrid Until The End
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