Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
51.05% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.1) | 24.67% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% ( 0.54) | 48.01% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.82% ( 0.5) | 70.18% ( -0.49) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.2) | 18.81% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.34) | 50.24% ( -0.33) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% ( 0.4) | 33.79% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( 0.43) | 70.46% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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