Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
56.76% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0) | 18.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -0.01) | 54.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.53% ( -0.01) | 75.47% ( 0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -0.01) | 18.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% ( -0.02) | 50.4% ( 0.01) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.16% ( 0.01) | 42.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.84% ( 0) | 79.15% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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