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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone
Armstrong (11', 46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bair (90+1')
Gordon (34'), Mitchell (52'), McGowan (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 St Johnstone

A troubling start to the campaign for both clubs, St Johnstone will be keen to maintain their strong record against Kilmarnock this weekend. St Johnstone enter the weekend above Killie, which is where they are likely to be following Saturday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
55.37% (-1.368 -1.37) 24.32% (0.213 0.21) 20.3% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.576 0.58)52.65% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.491 0.49)74.29% (-0.491 -0.49)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)18.91% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (-0.503 -0.5)50.4% (0.504 0.5)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (1.607 1.61)40.56% (-1.606 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (1.417 1.42)77.16% (-1.416 -1.42)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.36%
    St Johnstone 20.3%
    Draw 24.31%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 55.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone

Kilmarnock
36.1%
Draw
16.7%
St Johnstone
47.2%
36
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
St Johnstone
Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')
Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')
Nov 6, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
St Johnstone
Tshibola (61')
Power (55')
Millen (63')
Wotherspoon (85'), O'Halloran (90+4')
Rooney (33'), Craig (90+3')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
McCann (7'), Wotherspoon (83')
Wotherspoon (24'), Hendry (89')
Burke (22' pen.)
Del Fabro (79'), Findlay (89'), Kiltie (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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