Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.