Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.4% ( -0.41) | 26.13% ( 0.12) | 47.47% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.68% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.87% ( -0.71) | 54.13% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( -0.6) | 75.55% ( 0.6) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.36% ( -0.72) | 35.64% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.59% ( -0.75) | 72.41% ( 0.76) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( -0.16) | 22.8% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% ( -0.25) | 56.51% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.4% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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