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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Fiorentina logo
Napoli
1 - 0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Fiorentina

For all the joyous release of the last few days, Napoli have been off the boil for a while now, while Fiorentina may have their minds on other matters. With all the action occurring in the Stadio Maradona stands, it could be a more meandering affair on the field of play; ending in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
46.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 24.92% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 28.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.316 -0.32)47.97% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.294 -0.29)70.14% (0.295 0.3)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)20.61% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.229 -0.23)53.16% (0.229 0.23)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)30.79% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.223 -0.22)67.06% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 46.64%
    Fiorentina 28.43%
    Draw 24.92%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Napoli
60.8%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
16.5%
79
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli

Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')

Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
Jan 13, 2022 5pm
Final
Napoli
2-5
Fiorentina
Mertens (44'), Petagna (90+5')
Rrahmani (56'), Fabian (77'), Tuanzebe (85')
Lozano (84'), Fabian (90+3')
Vlahovic (41'), Biraghi (57'), Venuti (105+1'), Piatek (108'), Maleh (119')
Duncan (23'), Castrovilli (59')
Dragowski (45+2')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
gameweek 7
Fiorentina
1-2
Napoli
Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')
May 16, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 37
Fiorentina
0-2
Napoli

Milenkovic (31'), Ribery (43'), Caceres (49'), Castrovilli (61'), Pezzella (80')
Dragowski (56')
Insigne (56'), Venuti (67' og.)
Rrahmani (22'), Contini (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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