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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Spezia Calcio logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Spezia

Wisniewski (25' og.)
Italiano (62+62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (32')
Maldini (35'), Gyasi (45+1'), N'Zola (45'), Ampadu (63'), Bastoni (68'), Ekdal (72'), Wisniewski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Spezia

Italiano's troops are flying at the moment, and only a disastrous showing against Spezia would see them drop points in the league on their turf. With Fiorentina winning four of their last four against the Aquilotti in the competition, this should become five successive victories against a struggling side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
76.98% (0.012 0.01) 14.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01) 8.27% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11%7.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 76.97%
    Spezia 8.28%
    Draw 14.74%
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.47%
3-0 @ 10.56%
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.7%
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 76.97%
1-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.74%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 8.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Spezia

Fiorentina
87.2%
Draw
8.5%
Spezia
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
N'Zola (35')
Nikolaou (7')
Milenkovic (14'), Cabral (90')
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
Agudelo (74')
Reca (78'), Amian (84')
Piatek (42'), Amrabat (89')
Castrovilli (67')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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