Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
29.91% | 24.89% | 45.2% |
Both teams to score 55.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% | 47.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% | 69.27% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% | 29.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% | 65.22% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% | 20.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
2 | Lazio | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 58 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
14 | Empoli | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
19 | Cremonese | 29 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 16 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
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