Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
55.81% | 22.4% | 21.79% |
Both teams to score 56.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.15% | 42.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.74% | 65.26% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% | 15.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.14% | 43.86% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% | 33.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% | 70.15% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.81% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
3 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 |
5 | AC Milan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Roma | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Empoli | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
12 | Fiorentina | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 20 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 20 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 8 |
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