Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
56.63% | 22.42% | 20.95% |
Both teams to score 55.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% | 43.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% | 66.34% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% | 15.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.94% | 44.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 23 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 21 |
3 | Udinese | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
4 | AC Milan | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
5 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Lazio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
7 | Inter Milan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Juventus | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
9 | SassuoloSassuolo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
11 | Salernitana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Monza | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
13 | Fiorentina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Empoli | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | SpeziaSpezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Bologna | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
19 | Cremonese | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 3 |
20 | Sampdoria | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 3 |
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