The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Genoa
Fiorentina will view this match as the perfect chance to return to winning ways in the league, and we are expecting the home side to triumph here, with Vlahovic potentially scoring the only goal of the match in a 1-0 success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
| 70.82% | 17.1% | 12.08% |
| Both teams to score 53.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
