Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
66.61% | 19.53% | 13.85% |
Both teams to score 50.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.61% | 43.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.21% | 65.79% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.88% | 12.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.3% | 37.69% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% | 43.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.65% | 79.35% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.38% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 5.22% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.53% | 0-1 @ 4.4% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.44% Total : 13.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
2 | Lazio | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 64 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
4 | Inter Milan | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
6 | AC Milan | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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