Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.8% | 19.8% | 13.4% |
Both teams to score 47.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% | 45.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.08% | 67.91% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% | 12.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.05% | 38.95% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% | 81.04% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 12.2% 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.99% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.57% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
7 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Monza | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
10 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
11 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
12 | Juventus | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 24 |
16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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