MX23RW : Thursday, April 6 02:33:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Feb 12, 2023 at 6pm UK at Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Porto
Chermiti (90+7')
Reis (42'), Ugarte (68'), Edwards (77'), Adan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')
Galeno (44')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viseu 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto

This will be an intriguing battle between a side very strong at home against a side who have been unbeatable for months now. Sporting have struggled to get the upper hand against the other two Portuguese giants this season though, so Porto may just have the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
31.59% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.29% (-0.104 -0.1) 42.12% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.343 0.34)52.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.294 0.29)73.97% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.01% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.378 0.38)24.57% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.524 0.52)59.06% (-0.518 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 31.59%
    Porto 42.11%
    Draw 26.29%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.11%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
27.8%
Draw
16.7%
Porto
55.6%
90
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Porto

Ugarte (32'), Paulinho (63'), Goncalves (67'), Reis (90+6')
Paulinho (72')
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
Pepe (63'), Wendell (67'), Borges (90+6')
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica26232167145371
2Porto26194356173961
3Braga26192556233359
4Sporting Lisbon26173652232954
5AroucaArouca2611873032-241
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2612592529-441
7Casa Pia26115102327-438
8Vizela26105113028235
9Rio AveRio Ave2696112529-433
10FamalicaoFamalicao26103132533-833
11ChavesChaves2688102733-632
12BoavistaBoavista2686123044-1430
13Gil Vicente2686122632-630
14PortimonensePortimonense2682161833-1526
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2674152239-1725
16Maritimo2654172149-2819
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2645171943-2417
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2636171741-2415

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