Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
37.94% ( -0.41) | 24.31% ( -0.09) | 37.76% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% ( 0.46) | 42.34% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.26% ( 0.46) | 64.75% ( -0.45) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% ( -0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% ( -0.01) | 55.73% ( 0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( 0.47) | 22.37% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% ( 0.69) | 55.87% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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