Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.