Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.