Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
39.2% ( -0) | 27.44% ( -0) | 33.36% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 0.01) | 56.36% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( 0) | 77.38% ( -0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( 0) | 28.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( 0) | 63.67% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% ( 0.01) | 31.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% ( 0.01) | 68.03% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |