Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
35.73% ( 0.09) | 26.6% ( -0.02) | 37.67% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( 0.08) | 52.75% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( 0.07) | 74.38% ( -0.07) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( 0.09) | 28.33% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( 0.12) | 64.06% ( -0.11) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( -0) | 27.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( -0) | 62.59% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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