Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
44.94% ( 0.08) | 26.91% ( -0.03) | 28.15% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.93% ( 0.08) | 56.07% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.07) | 77.15% ( -0.06) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( 0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.55% ( 0.11) | 59.45% ( -0.1) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% ( 0) | 72.03% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |