Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
