Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Espanyol |
51.72% ( 0.39) | 26.03% ( 0.08) | 22.24% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.03% ( -0.69) | 56.97% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -0.56) | 77.87% ( 0.55) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0.12) | 22.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( -0.18) | 55.48% ( 0.18) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.97% ( -0.86) | 41.02% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.42% ( -0.77) | 77.58% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |