Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
65.56% ( 0.06) | 20.72% ( -0.05) | 13.71% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.22% ( 0.16) | 48.77% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( 0.15) | 70.88% ( -0.15) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.92% ( 0.07) | 14.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% ( 0.14) | 41.67% ( -0.14) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.38% ( 0.08) | 46.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.8% ( 0.06) | 82.2% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.72% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |