Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
