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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
36.71% ( 0.14) | 25.95% ( -0.05) | 37.34% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( 0.23) | 49.94% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( 0.21) | 71.92% ( -0.21) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( 0.19) | 26.4% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( 0.25) | 61.57% ( -0.26) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.05) | 26.05% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% ( 0.08) | 61.09% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |