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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
43.88% ( -0.05) | 26.09% ( 0.01) | 30.03% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.96% ( -0.04) | 52.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.23% ( -0.04) | 73.77% ( 0.03) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% ( -0.04) | 23.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% ( -0.06) | 57.66% ( 0.05) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.27% | 31.73% ( -0) |