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Aug 13, 2022 at 11pm UK at Red Bull Arena
NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Orlando City

Tolkin (12'), Casseres Jr (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (17')
Moutinho (16')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-3 New England
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 4-2 Orlando City

NY Red Bulls and Orlando have already met on two occasions this season, with the Red Bulls winning 3-0 in the MLS before the Lions thumped Saturday's opponents 5-1 in the US Open Cup. We expect more goals to follow at the weekend, but we think that NY Red Bulls will get the better of an Orlando side, who have lost their last three MLS games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
50.18% (-2.06 -2.06) 25.82% (0.377 0.38) 23.99% (1.675 1.68)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.762 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (0.044999999999998 0.04)76.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)21.84% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-1.315 -1.32)55.06% (1.306 1.31)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (1.628 1.63)38.07% (-1.637 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (1.54 1.54)74.83% (-1.548 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 50.18%
    Orlando City 23.99%
    Draw 25.82%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.527 -0.53)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.405 -0.41)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.331 0.33)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Mueller (59')
Urso (2'), Pereyra (41')
Casseres Jr (6')
Duncan (22'), Gomes (34'), Yearwood (57'), Barlow (90+6')
May 29, 2021 6pm
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Orlando City
Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')
Van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')
Oct 19, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Orlando City
White (90+5')
Valot (90+1')
Nani (55' pen.)
Miller (25'), Urso (36'), Nani (90+4')
Oct 3, 2020 9.30pm
Orlando City
3-1
NY Red Bulls
Dike (24'), Urso (50'), Carlos (90+5')
Pereyra (15'), O (69')
Valot (54')
Egbo (14')
rhs 2.0
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