Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.