Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.