Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
58.86% ( 0.4) | 21.85% ( -0.07) | 19.28% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( -0.21) | 43.78% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( -0.2) | 66.17% ( 0.19) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.46% ( 0.05) | 14.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.42% ( 0.11) | 42.57% ( -0.12) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -0.48) | 36.53% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( -0.48) | 73.32% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |