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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
St Mirren Park
Aberdeen logo
St Mirren
3 - 1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Erhahon (30'), Baccus (67'), Strain (89'), Gogic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kennedy (9')
McCrorie (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Rangers
Saturday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Rangers
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Aberdeen

In a match with consequences in the battle for Europe, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in a closely fought encounter in Paisley. On this occasion, Aberdeen will do enough to seal the three points and strengthen their hold on third heading into Christmas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
35.04% (0.38200000000001 0.38) 28.25% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 36.71% (-0.418 -0.42)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82% (-0.101 -0.1)59.18% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.6% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.19900000000001 0.2)31.95% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (0.228 0.23)68.4% (-0.229 -0.23)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.309 -0.31)30.88% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (-0.364 -0.36)67.17% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 35.03%
    Aberdeen 36.71%
    Draw 28.24%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 11.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.71%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
29.4%
Draw
14.7%
Aberdeen
55.9%
34
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')
Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Watkins (7', 43'), Ramirez (9', 71')
Tanser (42')
Tanser (89')
Sep 26, 2021 12pm
St Mirren
3-2
Aberdeen
Ronan (14', 58'), Fraser (61')
Fraser (33')
Brown (18'), Ramirez (34')
Jenks (27'), Ferguson (50'), Brown (66'), Ramsey (90+2'), Hayes (90+2')
Jenks (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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