Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
35.04% ( 0.38) | 28.25% ( 0.03) | 36.71% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.82% ( -0.1) | 59.18% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% ( -0.08) | 79.6% ( 0.08) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 0.2) | 31.95% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% ( 0.23) | 68.4% ( -0.23) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( -0.31) | 30.88% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( -0.36) | 67.17% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |