Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
67.3% ( -2.09) | 20.16% ( 1.11) | 12.53% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( -2.26) | 49.04% ( 2.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( -2.08) | 71.12% ( 2.08) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% ( -1.29) | 13.63% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.21% ( -2.64) | 40.79% ( 2.64) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.33% ( 0.28) | 48.67% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.28% ( 0.2) | 83.72% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.48% Total : 67.3% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |