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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 24, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Benzema (31'), Rodrygo (89')
Carvajal (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Tomas (84')
Garcia (33'), Lopez (51'), Comesana (53')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Rayo Vallecano

 Both teams will be keen to bounce back from defeats last weekend and claim maximum points in their quests to achieve their respective targets in the final three games of the campaign. Rayo Vallecano will fancy their chances of causing another upset against Real Madrid, but we believe that the hosts will continue their strong form on home soil and come out on top on Wednesday, even without the presence of Vinicius in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
72.87% (0.18299999999999 0.18) 17.21% (-0.061 -0.06) 9.92% (-0.1201 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.1% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)43.12% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)65.52% (0.083000000000013 0.08)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)10.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.09% (0.054999999999993 0.05)33.91% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.33% (-0.296 -0.3)49.67% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.57% (-0.206 -0.21)84.43% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 72.87%
    Rayo Vallecano 9.92%
    Draw 17.21%
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.99% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.65% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 72.87%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 17.21%
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.92%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid
90.9%
Draw
3.9%
Rayo Vallecano
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 8pm
gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
3-2
Real Madrid
Comesana (5'), Garcia (44'), Trejo (67' pen.)
Catena (2')
Modric (37' pen.), Militao (41')
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Real Madrid

Valentin (42'), Trejo (56'), Balliu (65'), Bebe (72'), Catena (79')
Benzema (83')
Casemiro (58'), Mendy (63'), Ceballos (90+6')
Nov 6, 2021 8pm
gameweek 13
Real Madrid
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Kroos (14'), Benzema (38')
Kroos (29')
Falcao (76')
Balliu (45+1'), Comesana (68')
Apr 28, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Real Madrid
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724
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