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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.31% ( 0.49) | 26.39% ( -0.05) | 44.29% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 0.44) | 53.53% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 0.37) | 75.05% ( -0.37) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.6) | 33.02% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% ( 0.66) | 69.61% ( -0.66) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.02) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
P | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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