Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 90.64%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 2.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.46%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.02%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 2-1 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
