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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
36.63% ( 0.01) | 27.02% ( 0.01) | 36.34% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.55% ( -0.05) | 54.45% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -0.05) | 75.81% ( 0.04) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( -0.02) | 28.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( -0.02) | 64.4% ( 0.02) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( -0.04) | 28.77% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% ( -0.05) | 64.62% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |